NYDL March

2023 — New York, NY/US

Motion balance report

If a motion were perfectly balanced, we would expect a 50% prop win rate. However, apparent balance or imbalance can reflect random chance; for example if three strongest teams end up on the same side of a motion--which happens on average once per tournament--then they will skew the win rate for whichever side they are on. Such coincidences have more influence over motions that are debated fewer times.

This random variation is reflected by the p-value. Lower p-values mean the result is less likely to be a coincidence. P-values below 5% are generally considered "statistically significant", although this threshold is arbitrary.

Motion

Prop wins

Out of

Prop win rate

p-value

Ban hate speech

30

52

57.69%

11.67%

This house prefers a world in which AI is smarter than humans

22

32

68.75%

0.27%

This house prefers that the Earth be governed by a single world government

8

19

42.11%

33.04%